Willem II vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
GAE
3 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1993 |
VVV
0 - 0
WIL
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRO
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
VOL
0 - 3
WIL
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
RKC
1 - 1
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
SCH
1 - 4
GAE
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
GRO
2 - 2
SCH
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
SCH
3 - 1
VOL
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
NAC
6 - 0
SCH
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |