Willem II vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
20%
25%
56%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 5
WIL
54%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 2
MVV
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
WIL
0 - 1
FEY
17%
23%
61%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 4
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
HFC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
AZA
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
RJC
0 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
UTR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
GAE
1 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |