Willem II vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
11º
8º
6
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 70 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 61 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
37.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
WIL
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 4
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
6 - 2
PAT
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
5 - 0
LOM
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GAE
0 - 2
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 1
GAE
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GAE
0 - 0
BBS
35%
24%
42%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
1 - 2
GAE
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
GAE
1 - 2
UNI
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |