Willem II vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
UTR
0 - 2
WIL
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 0
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
FEY
4 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
21%
27%
53%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
WIL
4 - 2
RJC
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
GAE
0 - 2
FEY
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
TWE
3 - 1
GAE
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
MVV
1 - 1
GAE
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
GAE
2 - 4
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
ADO
2 - 4
GAE
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |