Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FEY
2 - 3
WIL
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
GRA
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
4 - 2
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 1
AZA
15%
20%
65%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
FCE
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AZA
4 - 2
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 4
SCH
27%
23%
51%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HER
6 - 0
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |