Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 2
WIL
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
4 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
WIL
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
4 - 2
UTR
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
RJC
2 - 0
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 1
AZA
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
SCH
3 - 1
FOR
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 1
GRO
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |