Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
UTR
2 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
WIL
5 - 1
VOL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
RKC
2 - 2
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
WIL
3 - 4
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
WIL
0 - 0
TWE
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
FOR
2 - 0
BOS
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
GRO
0 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
FOR
1 - 0
HFC
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
FEY
0 - 2
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
VIT
1 - 1
FOR
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |