Willem II vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
UTR
2 - 2
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 0
ADO
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
AZA
0 - 0
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ADO
2 - 2
FEY
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
FEY
0 - 3
AZA
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 0
FEY
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
TWE
3 - 1
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FEY
3 - 2
TWE
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |