Willem II vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VIT
4 - 2
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
6 - 0
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRA
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
AZA
2 - 2
WIL
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
FEY
3 - 2
SCH
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 0
FEY
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 2
FEY
13%
20%
67%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
PSV
2 - 0
FEY
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2002 |
FEY
2 - 2
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |