Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
WIL
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 0
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
PSV
6 - 1
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
MEE
0 - 6
WIL
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 0
RJC
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
ZWO
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 3
RKC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
69%
18%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
NOO
1 - 7
ZWO
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -1 |