Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
FEY
3 - 2
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
VVV
1 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
WIL
3 - 0
VOL
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIL
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1988 |
ZWO
1 - 1
FEY
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1987 |
VVV
5 - 0
ZWO
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
VOL
3 - 1
ZWO
36%
26%
37%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 1987 |
ZWO
0 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
6 - 4
ZWO
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |