Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
BOS
2 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
9%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 0
GAE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
SPA
3 - 1
WIL
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 2
UTR
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
FCD
4 - 1
ZWO
38%
26%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 1
SPA
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
EXC
4 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AJA
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |