Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
TWE
0 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
WIL
4 - 0
NEC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 1
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
ZWO
0 - 2
AZA
12%
21%
67%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
RJC
3 - 1
ZWO
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
ZWO
1 - 3
GRO
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
ZWO
2 - 1
FEY
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |