Willem II vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
MVV
1 - 0
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRO
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
DWS
0 - 2
WIL
47%
23%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 0
ENS
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
VOL
4 - 0
AJA
20%
19%
62%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
FCB
4 - 2
VOL
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
VOL
4 - 0
VVD
34%
23%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
MVV
3 - 0
VOL
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
VOL
5 - 2
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |