Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
3 - 3
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
2 - 0
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 4
VIT
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
TWE
3 - 1
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
UTR
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
UTR
4 - 1
RBC
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |