Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
GRO
3 - 1
WIL
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
WIL
2 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
RKC
1 - 0
WIL
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
BVO
0 - 1
WIL
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
UTR
4 - 0
SCH
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
NEC
2 - 3
UTR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
NAC
2 - 2
UTR
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
UTR
0 - 0
FEY
19%
28%
53%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
TWE
1 - 0
UTR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |