Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
FOR
0 - 1
WIL
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
WIL
0 - 1
TWE
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
RJC
0 - 0
WIL
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
FEY
3 - 1
WIL
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
UTR
0 - 0
FEY
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
MVV
0 - 3
UTR
55%
26%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
UTR
1 - 1
BOS
57%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
MVV
3 - 1
UTR
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
UTR
0 - 0
FEY
39%
30%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |