Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
VOL
0 - 0
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
WIL
3 - 2
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
FEY
0 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
SCH
1 - 0
UTR
55%
25%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
UTR
1 - 1
VIT
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1991 |
SVV
1 - 0
UTR
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
UTR
2 - 0
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
AJA
1 - 1
UTR
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |