Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
GRO
5 - 3
WIL
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
WIL
1 - 1
HFC
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1989 |
PSV
7 - 0
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
RJC
2 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
UTR
1 - 2
BOS
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
VVV
2 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
UTR
2 - 0
VOL
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
UTR
2 - 2
MVV
66%
19%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
FOR
1 - 2
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |