Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 2
FEY
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
TWE
5 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 1
WIL
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
UTR
2 - 0
FEY
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
UTR
2 - 2
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
MVV
1 - 3
UTR
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
GRO
1 - 1
UTR
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1980 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |