Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
ADO
0 - 0
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 6
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
MVV
0 - 1
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
WIL
2 - 2
HFC
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
UTR
1 - 0
HFC
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
VIT
1 - 0
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
UTR
4 - 0
GAE
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
NAC
0 - 0
UTR
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |