Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
BVO
0 - 2
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
WIL
4 - 1
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 4
WIL
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 1
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 2
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
FEY
3 - 1
TWE
68%
18%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
RKC
2 - 2
TWE
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
TWE
0 - 0
BVO
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |