Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 2
WIL
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
WIL
1 - 2
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 3
WIL
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 6
AZA
30%
25%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
RJC
3 - 1
TWE
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
ZWO
0 - 1
TWE
20%
26%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
TWE
1 - 1
GRO
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
TWE
0 - 0
NEC
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |