Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 5
WIL
54%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 2
MVV
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
WIL
0 - 1
FEY
17%
23%
61%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 4
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 2
HFC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 1
TWE
14%
24%
62%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 2
HFC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
AZA
2 - 1
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
TWE
1 - 3
RJC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
UTR
4 - 2
TWE
30%
27%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |