Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
AJA
7 - 1
WIL
88%
8%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 2
WIL
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
TWE
1 - 1
RJC
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
FEY
1 - 1
TWE
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
TWE
0 - 1
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 0
TWE
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
TWE
2 - 2
HFC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |