Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 2
VVD
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 1
ADO
40%
25%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 1
DWS
38%
25%
38%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 1
GRO
60%
19%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
ADO
4 - 1
TWE
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
DWS
1 - 1
TWE
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
TWE
0 - 4
SPA
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |