Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 1
HEL
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ADO
1 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 0
FCE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 5
WIL
13%
21%
66%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
VVV
1 - 3
WIL
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
MVV
1 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 0
TEL
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 1
VVV
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
ALK
0 - 5
GRO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 1
EIN
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |