Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TWE
0 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GRO
3 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 1
SCH
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |