Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
JON
2 - 1
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 3
WIL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
GRO
3 - 2
RJC
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 0
GRO
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
JOU
2 - 3
GRO
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
GRO
1 - 1
SCH
32%
26%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ZWO
0 - 2
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |