Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
WIL
3 - 2
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
FEY
0 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
WIL
3 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
GRO
2 - 0
VIT
61%
19%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
SVV
0 - 1
GRO
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
GRO
4 - 0
SPA
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
GRO
2 - 1
RKC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |