Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 6
PSV
19%
24%
56%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
NAC
0 - 2
WIL
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 2
WAG
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
RJC
1 - 1
WIL
69%
18%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
GRO
0 - 0
FEY
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
TWE
3 - 1
GRO
80%
13%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
GRO
1 - 2
MVV
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
AJA
5 - 1
GRO
89%
8%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |