Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
SPA
3 - 1
WIL
71%
15%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
WIL
2 - 4
NAC
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
TSV
1 - 0
WIL
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
WIL
0 - 1
AJA
32%
22%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
VVD
4 - 1
WIL
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
GRO
4 - 2
FEY
38%
23%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ELI
0 - 5
GRO
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
GRO
1 - 3
RAP
50%
22%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
MVV
2 - 0
GRO
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
GRO
1 - 1
EIN
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |