Willem II vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
BOS
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
AZA
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
RBC
2 - 0
WIL
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FEY
7 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
BOS
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BOS
1 - 2
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOS
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BOS
0 - 2
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ADO
2 - 0
BOS
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |