Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
WIL
4 - 3
HFC
48%
25%
26%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
AJA
8 - 2
WIL
89%
7%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
WIL
2 - 0
GAE
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
FOR
2 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1983 |
EXC
1 - 4
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 2
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
64%
23%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |