Willem II vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
MVV
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 3
FEY
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
AJA
7 - 2
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |