Willem II vs SC Enschede analysis


77	ELO	73
1.3%	Tilt	2%
429º	General ELO ranking	23060º
11º	Country ELO ranking	399º
ELO win probability

66.3%

Willem II

16.8%

Draw

16.9%

SC Enschede

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

66.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%

16.8%

Draw

0-0

1.7%

1-1

6.3%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

2.3%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

16.8%

16.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%