Willem II vs Elinkwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
4 - 0
TWE
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 2
VVD
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 1
ADO
40%
25%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Elinkwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
ELI
1 - 1
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
ADO
5 - 1
ELI
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
ELI
3 - 2
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
DWS
2 - 0
ELI
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
ELI
1 - 2
SPA
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |