Willem II vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 0
MVV
83%
12%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 4
SPA
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 1
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
BVO
0 - 1
WIL
24%
25%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
ASN
2 - 2
GIR
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1999 |
GIR
0 - 0
SPA
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
GIR
2 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 2
GIR
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
NAN
0 - 1
GIR
34%
27%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |