Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 2
WIL
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIL
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
4 - 1
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 2
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 0
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 2
FEY
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 3
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
AZA
3 - 1
BVO
64%
20%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
RJC
8 - 2
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |