Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
GRO
1 - 4
WIL
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
WIL
2 - 2
HFC
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
ZWO
1 - 4
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
BOS
3 - 1
WIL
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
WIL
2 - 3
FEY
7%
19%
75%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
AZA
2 - 2
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
VVV
2 - 0
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 1
VOL
58%
26%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
FOR
3 - 0
AZA
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |