Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 0
WIL
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 0
RBC
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
VIT
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VOL
0 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |