Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
BVV
1 - 1
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
WIL
0 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 3
BOS
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
VVV
1 - 1
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 4
VOL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
AJA
5 - 1
BOS
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
AJA
2 - 0
VOL
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
37%
24%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
4%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |