Willem II vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1981 |
NEC
4 - 0
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 5
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
AZA
3 - 3
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
GRO
0 - 2
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
TWE
3 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
AJA
6 - 1
MVV
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |