Willem II vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
WIL
2 - 1
SPA
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
ADO
1 - 0
WIL
57%
20%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1961 |
TSV
0 - 2
WIL
47%
23%
29%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 0
AZA
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1961 |
DWS
4 - 1
ELI
64%
19%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
AJA
2 - 2
DWS
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
DWS
2 - 2
PSV
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FEY
2 - 0
DWS
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
DWS
1 - 3
VVV
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |