Willem II vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 2
SPA
40%
25%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AZA
4 - 1
ADO
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RJC
2 - 0
ADO
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ADO
3 - 0
NEC
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
10%
18%
72%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |