Willem II Sub 18 vs Almere City Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
16.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
1º
20
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAM
4 - 1
WIL
63%
18%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 5
WIL
25%
20%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 0
VVV
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 1
GAE
36%
21%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EMM
1 - 5
WIL
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Almere City Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ALM
3 - 0
EMM
69%
16%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
3 - 1
NEC
32%
20%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GAE
2 - 2
ALM
76%
14%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
EMM
1 - 0
ALM
44%
20%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 0
ALM
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |