Wilhelmshaven vs Germania Leer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilhelmshaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LAN
3 - 0
WIL
66%
20%
15%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 2
HAV
13%
19%
69%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VFL
1 - 2
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 0
PEW
27%
24%
49%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 3
PRH
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Germania Leer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 3
GEL
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GEL
3 - 0
AHA
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 0
VFL
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
2 - 1
BOR
41%
25%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
2 - 3
ENO
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |