Wilhelmshaven II vs FSV Schöningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
64.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+335%
+79%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
16º
16º
36
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
30 | 60 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 55% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilhelmshaven II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HEE
2 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 1
GER
15%
20%
66%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | +6 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 0
WIL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
SVE
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PEW
3 - 1
WIL
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
FSV Schöningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 5
BOR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LUP
2 - 2
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
VER
37%
25%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVM
2 - 4
SCH
46%
21%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BSV
3 - 1
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |