FC Wil vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
WIL
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
6 - 1
DEL
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
WIL
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STG
3 - 2
WIL
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STG
1 - 1
WIN
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
ETO
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 2
BAS
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
WOH
2 - 3
WIN
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
WIN
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |