FC Wil vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
10º
10º
14
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 37 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 28 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 28 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 26 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 26 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 23 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 22 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 17 |
10º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 68% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
WIN
17%
20%
63%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 0
WIL
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
WIL
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
NEX
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
THU
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
THU
0 - 2
GCZ
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
WIN
0 - 1
THU
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
THU
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
THU
4 - 2
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |